5 Outright Winner Value Bets for the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open

It’s links season, baby. The Genesis Scottish Open tees off this Thursday in North Berwick, and the field is stacked with major winners, local grinders, and a few live longshots who thrive in the wind. Before you fire off your bets, make sure you’re seeing the best odds on the board. That tiny edge might be the difference between a heartbreak T-2 and a beer-soaked Sunday cashout.

Let’s not pretend the Scottish Open is your average birdie-fest. This is wind-whipped, firm-ground, pot-bunker carnage. A tournament where leaderboard chaos is just part of the charm — and where betting chalk feels like wearing a helmet to bed.

So forget who the odds say should win. Let’s focus on who’s got the guts, the gear, and the upside to blow this thing open.

Here are five outright value bets from one book that are primed to turn heads — or at least bankrolls.

1. Ludvig Åberg (+2660)

Ludvig’s swing is a weapon. He’s already proven he can handle tough setups and deliver in pressure spots. If his putter even pretends to cooperate, he’s live to win. +2660 is the sweet spot between “smart” and “sneaky sharp” — perfect for the Scottish Open.

 2. Justin Thomas (+3419)

Yeah, his form's been trash. No, I don’t care. JT doesn’t need six straight top-10s to win — he needs one week where his irons catch fire and his putter doesn’t ghost him. At +3419, you’re getting a multi-major winner in a field that’s more wide open than people want to admit.

3. Alex Fitzpatrick (+33200)

You want upside? This is it. Alex doesn’t have the resume, but he has the stones — and that matters more on a course like this. If he finds the weekend, he’s a live wire. At +33200, you’re throwing a dart with purpose. No one’s gonna blame you when it misses… but they’ll sure remember if it doesn’t.

4. Daniel Hillier (+31100)

Hillier is a tee-to-green stud when he’s dialed in, and this kind of setup rewards that kind of game. Wind, firm turf, mental warfare — Hillier’s played this tune before. You’re not betting him to be safe. You’re betting him because +31100 is a joke and golf is a lunatic sport.

5. Dylan Frittelli (+50000)

Yes, he’s +50000. No, you don’t need a good reason. Frittelli’s shown flashes in bigger fields before, and the chaos baked into this event makes him the kind of guy who could pop. Will he win? Probably not. Could he backdoor a Sunday lead while you sip coffee and forget he was even in the field? Yup.

Final Thoughts

Winners don’t bet safe — they bet smart-dangerous. Sprinkle these outrights, ride the rollercoaster, and remember: you don’t need five of them to hit. You need one.

When it does, tell your buddies where you found the play: 👉 HeyRookie.ca — where legends are made, one longshot at a time.